The last poll I saw had Adam Hasner polling at only 6% – half of what George LeMieux was pulling and behind a couple of candidates who might be charitably described as ‘some dudes.’ Granted, the election is a long ways away, we are seeing huge undecideds, and it seems unlikely to me that the folks with a real chance to win the nomination come next year will include ‘some dudes.’ Another caveat, however, would be that ‘some dude’ could transform into a serious challenger with a well-funded, professionally run campaign.

Hasner’s camp tried to spin his falling behind (ret.) Col. Mike McCallister as having been beaten to the punch in terms of attending some Tea Party meetings, but that is pure b.s.

Their campaign just isn’t gaining traction and I suspect that is almost as much a mystery to them as it is to me.

When Mike Haridopolos dropped out, this left a huge opening for, well, everyone else.

I thought that LeMieux would benefit from being able to secure many of Haridopolos’ donors (especially since Haridopolos clearly hates Hasner and could probably be convinced to work his rolodex a little on behalf of someone he thought could beat him) and from not having to share with Haridopolos that percentage of the primary electorate who are not hard care Tea Partiers.

But it also gave Hasner a chance to really establish himself as the conservative, Tea Party, anti-establishment candidate in the race. It didn’t matter that none of it was true. It wasn’t true when Marco Rubio said it either and he still won, despite having been more old school, back slapping, favor trading establishment that Hasner ever was in his wildest dreams.

However, while LeMieux has done a half decent job of getting himself positioned, Hasner, after an initial media bump, is getting close to looking like he’s flailing a little.

If he can’t put together a big showing in an upcoming campaign finance report, when do we start asking if he’s just not going to make it?

Leaving aside what I personally think of Hasner (which is very, very little) – why do you think it hasn’t happened for him?